Monday, October 31, 2016

Halloween 2016 Weather: For Many, It Will Be A Treat

Brian Donegan
Published: October 31,2016

Halloween will be a "treat" for the majority of the country, with dry trick-or-treating and pleasant temperatures.
Although parts of the nation's northern tier and West Coast are at risk for wet weather, even that may not be a complete drenching.
(MAPS: 10-Day Forecast)
Temperatures will be well-above average Monday in much of the central and southern states, so a fairly nice October day is in store for a large swath of the Lower 48 states. Some locations will smash daily record highs, making it the warmest Halloween on record for those spots.
(MORE: Record Warmth Closes Out October)

Halloween Night Forecast

Northeast

The Northeast will enjoy dry conditions as an area of low pressure pushes away from the coast and high pressure builds into the region.
High temperatures will generally be near average for late October with highs in the 40s and 50s across New England and upstate New York, with 50s and 60s expected in the mid-Atlantic states.
Low temperatures overnight will dip into the 20s and 30s for New England and upstate New York, with 40s and a few 50s into the mid-Atlantic states.
(FORECAST: Boston | New York | Pittsburgh | Washington D.C.)

South

High pressure will dominate most of the South, so the forecast is looking like a treat from the lower Mississippi Valley into the Southeast. However, an upper-level disturbance may bring a few showers to south Texas.
Numerous record highs are likely to be shattered, with 80s and 90s for highs widespread from the Carolinas and Tennessee Valley into the southern Plains. Lows overnight will drop into the 50s and 60s for most areas.
(FORECAST: Atlanta | Miami | Memphis, Tennessee | Dallas)


Halloween Forecast

Midwest

The best chance of rain will be near the Canadian border as a low-pressure system moves through, but the rest of the Midwest is looking dry and breezy.
High temperatures across the region will be up to 30 degrees warmer than average. This translates into high temperatures in the 70s and low 80s for the central Plains into the mid-Mississippi Valley, with 50s and 60s farther to the north and east.
Low temperatures overnight will drop into the 30s and 40s behind the cold front in the northern Plains. Temperatures will only bottom out in the 50s and 60s from the mid-Mississippi Valley into the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
(FORECAST: Detroit | Chicago | Minneapolis | St. Louis)

West

The Northwest, including parts of northern California, will have the greatest chance for some wet weather on Halloween, due to a southward dip in the jet stream over the region.
Southern California into the Desert Southwest will be dominated by an area of high pressure and, consequently, dry and pleasant weather.
Temperatures will be cool in the Pacific Northwest due to more persistent clouds and the risk for showers. Highs in the 50s can be expected there, with 40s in the higher elevations.
Elsewhere across the West, highs in the 60s and 70s are likely, with the exception of the lower elevations of the Southwest where highs in the 80s are expected.
Low temperatures will be in the 30s and 40s for much of the West, with 50s and 60s along the California coast and into the Desert Southwest.
(FORECAST: Los Angeles | Denver | Seattle | Salt Lake City)

A Snowy Halloween?

Given all of this warmth, virtually all of you won't see snow on the pumpkins this year.
Alaska-based climatologist, Dr. Brian Brettschneider, plotted the chance of a "White Halloween" in any year in the U.S. and Canada.
Dreaming of a white Halloween? Climatology suggests that most of you should keep dreaming. (note: analysis uses 1st order stations)

As you can see, unless you're in the Rockies, High Plains, northern Plains, far northern Great Lakes or high country of northern New England, your chances are pretty slim.
MORE: Vintage Halloween Photos

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